Thursday, May 8, 2008

Trees - A Decision-Maker’s Lament

I think that I shall never see
A decision complex as that tree--

A tree with roots in ancient days
(At least as old as Reverend Bayes);

A tree with trunk all gnarled an twisted
With axioms by Savage listed;

A tree with branches sprouting branches
And nodes declaring what the chance is;

A tree with flowers in its tresses
(Each flower made of blooming guesses);

A tree with utiles at its tips
(Values gleaned from puzzled lips);

A tree with stems so deeply nested
Intuition's completely bested;

A tree with branches in a tangle
Impenetrable from any angle;

A tree that tried to tell us "should"
Although its essence was but "would";

A tree that did decision hold back
'Til calculation had it rolled back.

Decisions are reached by fools like me,
But it took a consultant to make that tree.

Michael H. Rothkopf
with apologies to Joyce Kilmer and to competent, conscientious decision analysts everywhere.
Operations Research, Vol.28, No.1, 1980.

2 comments:

A. Medaglia said...

Este poema debe poner a llorar a Luis José y a Mario... está buenísimo.

N.Santamaría said...

Lo que me parecio chistoso es que lo hayan publicado en Operations Research...jajaja... que no se diga que la gente de OR no tiene sentido del humor.